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BTC $78,289.59 -0.02%
ETH $2,307.92 -0.05%
BNB $616.39 -0.74%
XRP $1.39 +0.10%
SOL $83.94 -0.52%
TRX $0.3311 +1.49%
DOGE $0.1078 -1.62%
ADA $0.2482 -0.37%
BCH $446.56 -0.18%
LINK $9.09 -1.50%
HYPE $41.70 +1.86%
AAVE $92.29 -1.15%
SUI $0.9186 -0.21%
XLM $0.1598 -1.17%
ZEC $373.11 +6.33%

pacts

Paradigm partners release PACTs proposal, allowing holders from the Satoshi era to prove control without moving BTC

Concerns about quantum computing in Bitcoin always revolve around a "Satoshi-related problem." If a sufficiently powerful quantum computer emerges, millions of Bitcoins stored in old wallets with exposed public keys may face the risk of being stolen, including approximately 1.1 million Bitcoins that are allegedly owned by the anonymous creator Satoshi, currently valued at about $84 billion.Senior developer Jameson Lopp and five other developers formally proposed this plan through BIP-361 in mid-April, which aims to gradually phase out addresses vulnerable to quantum attacks over a five-year timeline and freeze any coins that fail to complete the migration. However, this proposal creates another issue: Satoshi and all other long-dormant holders would have to publicly "reveal themselves," or risk losing access to their assets.Dan Robinson, a general partner at Paradigm, released a proposal on Friday that suggests a way to circumvent this trade-off, with the core concept being "Provable Address Control Time Stamps" (PACTs). The main idea of PACTs is not to move coins, but to timestamp ownership proofs on specific dates, without disclosing any information externally until the wallet owner truly needs to spend.If Bitcoin later implements a soft fork to freeze coins vulnerable to quantum attacks, the protocol could include a rescue path that accepts STARK proofs (a type of zero-knowledge proof that remains secure against quantum computers), proving that the holder created their commitment before the existence of quantum hardware. When the holder wishes to spend, they submit this proof, and the network releases the corresponding coins. This redemption process will not reveal any information about the address, amount, or even the original timestamp creation time.

Analysis: Bitcoin holds at $70,000, oil prices surge and credit risk impacts the US stock market

In the context of crude oil prices rising over 10% on Thursday, approaching $100 per barrel, Bitcoin still holds above the $70,000 mark. U.S. President Trump stated that he is more concerned about stopping Iran's actions than about oil prices; meanwhile, Iran's new Supreme Leader publicly declared for the first time that the Strait of Hormuz should remain closed.Market concerns intensified, leading to a significant drop in stocks: the Nasdaq fell 1.6%, and the S&P 500 dropped 1.2%. Morgan Stanley's $800 million North Port private equity fund suspended redemptions, and its stock price fell 4%, putting pressure on the financial sector. JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo each fell about 3%, while private equity firms KKR and Ares Management dropped 3%-4%.CoinShares Research Director James Butterfill pointed out that oil prices and the geopolitical crisis behind them have become the main drivers of global asset pricing, with the market's sensitivity to expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate hikes diminishing. Despite increased market volatility, Bitcoin continues to show resilience. Dom Harz believes this reflects that institutional demand for Bitcoin has surpassed mere price speculation, focusing more on the infrastructure and applications that can unlock Bitcoin's financial utility.Bitcoin remains strong amid multiple intertwined risks, indicating that large investors are seeking a more robust Bitcoin financial ecosystem.

Matrixport: Liquidity indicators may not accurately predict BTC trends; attention should be paid to native crypto driving factors or policy impacts

ChainCatcher news, according to Matrixport analysis, the correlation between the rise in global liquidity and the increase in Bitcoin prices has certain limitations. The global liquidity indicator, measured by the total money supply of 28 central banks (in USD terms), although visually correlated with Bitcoin price trends, has its predictive accuracy questioned due to the non-stationarity of the time series and scale differences.The analysis points out that while the growth of money supply may have a lagging effect on the Bitcoin market, this lag time lacks strong theoretical support. Furthermore, although the correlation between Bitcoin and Nasdaq has slightly increased in recent years, it remains below the 60% peak during COVID, indicating that Bitcoin trading is more driven by its own dynamics rather than acting entirely as a proxy asset for tech stocks.Matrixport believes that the broad consolidation of Bitcoin prices may continue, and solely relying on liquidity indicators to predict market trends may not be reliable enough. In contrast, focusing on native driving factors of cryptocurrencies or macro variables with direct policy impacts (such as political leaders supporting cryptocurrencies) may be more valuable. Although market perceptions may have mathematical flaws, their widespread acceptance could still have a tangible impact on market behavior.
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